CURRENT CASH FLOW FOR

OLD AGE SURVIVORS INSURANCE

by

William Larsen

September 9, 2000
Projected Surpluses

(2000 - 2045)

Projected Interest Credited

(2000 - 2045)

Projected Social Security OASI fund balance

(2000 - 2045)

Projected Surpluses

(2000 - 2080)

Projected Interest Credited

(2000 - 2080)

Projected Social Security OASI fund balance

(2000 - 2080)

Assumptions:

Wage Growth 3.50%

Inflation 2.90%

Effective US Treasury Rate 6.9% (year 2000) declining to 5.6% in year 2009

No early retirement (best case for OASI)

Starting fund balance $798.812 Billion (year 1999)

OASI Tax Rate 10.6%

US Average Wage $30,768 (year 2000)

References used

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